
Originally Posted by
Latherty
Nickcuse is correct. The crack spread historically widens during the summer months as gasoline demand increases. This demand will drive up the price of high-quality crudes, which are the benchmarks such as WTI and Brent.
In winter, the demand for these crudes is usually relatively weaker. Many poorer quality crudes are just burned as fuel oil. When the summer comes, there is even less demand for these, whilst the benchmarks tend to go up, so the spreads can widen considerably.
In any event, the price of gasoline usually heads north in the spring and recedes in the autumn.
I haven't seen what the inventories are doing at the moment, but I would have thought the shut-in of Exxon's Nigerian production and Forties pipeline in the UK wouldn't be helping none...
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