Gee this thread got quiet!
That's probably right to a large degree, however keep in mind big oil hasn't built a new refinery in over 23 years ! So even if we had scads more supply of gas it wouldn't help unless we have the refineries to refine it.
The trick is to convince oil companies to invest in more refineries or add a lot more onto the ones they already have, and I don't see that due to environmentalists and all the politicians wanting to take away tax breaks for oil companies, they have no inncentives to build more refineries especially when there's all this talk about how they are ruining the good earth and a push for going green, so if we are supposedly working to use a lot less gas, where's the incentive to build more refineries ?
Big oil, the politicians and Opec are in the same bed, they are here to stick it to the people and get as much for a barrell of gas as possible, you''re right, $4 gas is not all that far away.
This is also true, however keep in mind that China is now the 2nd largest user of energy including gasoline, that puts a serious supply/demand pressure on oil especially with declining oil output from Opec, their wells are getting very old and many will be shut down and can't be replaced anytime soon, this is one of the new pressures causing it to go up.
And the reasons for that are...?
The staggering cost of environmental impact statements.
The ridiculous cost of federal, state, county, and city regulations.
Neighborhood whiners.
Scumbucket lawyers.
The EPA controlling processes and products. I bet it's the oil companies that will pay for the MBTE contamination of the nation's ground water, not the EPA that demanded it be used or the environmental gangs..er groups supporting the EPA blindly.
Insurance costs.
And the actual cost of the physical plant itself.
Why bother going through all that merely to provide back up capacity when present facilities provide sufficient volume of product for national needs?
No man, oil is bought and sold with a devalued dollar, bring back the dollars value and the cost of oil will go down, it is a simple problem to fix. They need to make the dollar attractive again, until then you will see more recession and could lead into a major problem on a global scale.
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